{"id":8613,"date":"2026-05-25T06:18:02","date_gmt":"2026-05-24T21:18:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blackfire.work\/?p=8613"},"modified":"2026-05-25T06:18:04","modified_gmt":"2026-05-24T21:18:04","slug":"%e6%a0%aa%e5%bc%8f%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e6%9a%b4%e8%90%bd%e3%81%af%e9%96%93%e8%bf%91%ef%bc%9f%e7%b1%b3%e5%9b%bd%e3%81%aecpi%e3%81%ae%e4%b8%8a%e6%98%87%e3%81%a8%e3%82%b9%e3%83%9a%e3%83%bc%e3%82%b9x","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blackfire.work\/?p=8613","title":{"rendered":"\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u66b4\u843d\u306f\u9593\u8fd1\uff1f\u7c73\u56fd\u306eCPI\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u3068\u30b9\u30da\u30fc\u30b9X\u306e\u4e0a\u5834\u304c\u5f15\u304d\u91d1\u306b\u306a\u308b\u306e\u304b\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u904e\u53bb3\u56de\u306e\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u5e02\u5834\u66b4\u843d\u306f\u3059\u3079\u3066\u3001CPI\u304c3.8%\u3092\u8d85\u3048\u305f\u6642\u671f\u3068\u91cd\u306a\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u30c9\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30e0: \u221249%\u3002<br>\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f: \u221257%\u3002<br>2022\u5e74\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u58f2\u308a: \u221225%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"embed-twitter\"><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The last 3 major market crashes all coincided with CPI crossing above 3.8%.<br><br>Dot-com: \u221249%. <br>Financial crisis: \u221257%. <br>2022 rate hike selloff: \u221225%.<br><br>CPI is approaching that level again and S&amp;P is sitting near all time highs. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/qOLDdF8eHJ\">pic.twitter.com\/qOLDdF8eHJ<\/a><\/p>&mdash; Bull Theory (@BullTheoryio) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/BullTheoryio\/status\/2058595608085331996?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 24, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter\"><div class=\"wp-block-embed__wrapper\">\n<div class=\"embed-twitter\"><blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\"><p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">\ud83d\udea8 DON&#39;T BECOME EXIT LIQUIDITY<br><br>SpaceX and OpenAI IPOs are being hyped as the next Amazon in 1997.<br><br>But almost nobody sees the massive problem.<br><br>Amazon went public at just $438M with huge upside ahead.<br><br>SpaceX and OpenAI are already multi-billion mega\u2011cap monsters.<br><br>They&#39;ve been\u2026 <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/HrxlKqtBod\">https:\/\/t.co\/HrxlKqtBod<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/IFxwbAXRiU\">pic.twitter.com\/IFxwbAXRiU<\/a><\/p>&mdash; MARMOT (@Web3Marmot) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Web3Marmot\/status\/2058617240182837453?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">May 24, 2026<\/a><\/blockquote><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/div>\n<\/div><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">SpaceX\u3068OpenAI\u306eIPO\u304c\u30011997\u5e74\u306e\u6b21\u306eAmazon\u3068\u3057\u3066\u717d\u3089\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u307b\u3068\u3093\u3069\u8ab0\u3082\u305d\u306e\u5de8\u5927\u306a\u554f\u984c\u306b\u6c17\u3065\u3044\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Amazon\u306f\u308f\u305a\u304b4\u51043800\u4e07\u30c9\u30eb\u3067\u4e0a\u5834\u3057\u3001\u5de8\u5927\u306a\u4e0a\u6607\u4f59\u5730\u304c\u3042\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">SpaceX\u3068OpenAI\u306f\u3059\u3067\u306b\u6570\u5341\u5104\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u30e1\u30ac\u30ad\u30e3\u30c3\u30d7\u30e2\u30f3\u30b9\u30bf\u30fc\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f55\u5e74\u3082\u524d\u304b\u3089\u975e\u516c\u958b\u3067\u53d6\u5f15\u3055\u308c\u3066\u304d\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5185\u90e8\u8005\u306f\u5de8\u984d\u306e\u5e33\u7c3f\u76ca\u3092\u62b1\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u5e33\u7c3f\u76ca\u3067\u306f\u30e8\u30c3\u30c8\u306f\u8cb7\u3048\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5f7c\u3089\u306f\u73fe\u91d1\u5316\u3059\u308b\u305f\u3081\u306b\u541b\u306e\u304a\u91d1\u304c\u5fc5\u8981\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2021\u5e74\u306eRivian\u3092\u899a\u3048\u3066\u3044\u308b\u304b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u300c\u6b21\u306e\u30c6\u30b9\u30e9\u300d\u3068\u3057\u3066\u717d\u3089\u308c\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">1500\u5104\u30c9\u30eb\u4ee5\u4e0a\u306e\u8a55\u4fa1\u984d\u3067\u4e0a\u5834\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5185\u90e8\u8005\u304c\u58f2\u308a\u629c\u3051\u3001\u5c0f\u58f2\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u306f90%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3092\u5931\u3063\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u540c\u3058\u624b\u53e3\u304c\u4eca\u3001\u307e\u3055\u306b\u7e70\u308a\u8fd4\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u516c\u958bAI\uff08Nvidia\u3001Microsoft\uff09\u3092\u904e\u53bb\u6700\u9ad8\u5024\u307e\u3067\u540a\u308a\u4e0a\u3052\u3001\u6700\u5927\u9650\u306eFOMO\u3092\u751f\u307f\u51fa\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u305d\u3057\u3066\u3001\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u306e\u975e\u516c\u958b\u30c6\u30c3\u30afIPO\u3067\u5e02\u5834\u3092\u6c3e\u6feb\u3055\u305b\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5c0f\u58f2\u306e\u71b1\u72c2\u3092\u65b0\u3057\u3044IPO\u306e\u51fa\u53e3\u3068\u3057\u3066\u5229\u7528\u3057\u3064\u3064\u3001\u73fe\u5728\u306eAI\u5de8\u982d\u304b\u3089\u73fe\u91d1\u3092\u643e\u308a\u53d6\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u3053\u308c\u306f\u65b0\u3057\u3044\u5f37\u6c17\u76f8\u5834\u306e\u59cb\u307e\u308a\u3067\u306f\u306a\u3044\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u3053\u308c\u306fAI\u73fe\u91d1\u5316\u306e\u30b0\u30e9\u30f3\u30c9\u30d5\u30a3\u30ca\u30fc\u30ec\u3060\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5c0f\u58f2\u306f\u9802\u70b9\u3067\u8cb7\u3046\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5185\u90e8\u8005\u306f100\u500d\u306e\u5229\u76ca\u3092\u78ba\u5b9a\u3057\u3001\u8eab\u3092\u5f15\u304f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5f7c\u3089\u306e\u51fa\u53e3\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u306b\u306a\u308b\u306a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u899a\u3048\u3066\u304a\u3051\u3001\u904e\u53bb10\u5e74\u9593\u306e\u3059\u3079\u3066\u306e\u4e3b\u8981\u306a\u8ee2\u63db\u70b9\u3092\u547c\u3073\u5f53\u3066\u3066\u304d\u305f\u30023\u5e74\u524d\u306e\u6b63\u78ba\u306a1\u4e076000\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u5e95\u5024\u3068\u300110\u6708\u306e11\u4e071000\u30c9\u30eb\u306e\u9802\u70b9\u3082\u542b\u3081\u3066\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u901a\u77e5\u3092\u30aa\u30f3\u306b\u3057\u308d\u3002\u30c7\u30fc\u30bf\u304c\u58f2\u308a\u629c\u3051\u306e\u7d42\u308f\u308a\u3092\u793a\u3057\u305f\u3089\u3001\u3053\u3053\u3067\u672c\u5f53\u306e\u5e95\u5024\u3092\u547c\u3076\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"is-style-balloon_box wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u66b4\u843d\u306f\u9593\u8fd1\uff1f\u7c73\u56fd\u306eCPI\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u3068\u30b9\u30da\u30fc\u30b9X\u306e\u4e0a\u5834\u304c\u5f15\u304d\u91d1\u306b\u306a\u308b\u306e\u304b\uff1f<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2026\u5e745\u6708\u73fe\u5728\u3001\u7c73\u56fd\u306e\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u518d\u52a0\u901f\u3068SpaceX\u306e\u5927\u578bIPO\u304c\u91cd\u306a\u308a\u3001\u682a\u5f0f\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u8abf\u6574\u3084\u66b4\u843d\u61f8\u5ff5\u304c\u5e02\u5834\u53c2\u52a0\u8005\u306e\u9593\u3067\u5e83\u304c\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6b74\u53f2\u7684\u306a\u985e\u4f3c\u70b9\u3084\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u3078\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u8e0f\u307e\u3048\u3064\u3064\u3001\u72b6\u6cc1\u3092\u307e\u3068\u3081\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u7c73CPI\u306e\u4e0a\u6607\u72b6\u6cc1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>4\u67082026\u5e74CPI<\/strong>: \u524d\u6708\u6bd4+0.6%\u3001\u524d\u5e74\u6bd4+3.8%\uff083\u6708\u306f+3.3%\uff09\u30022023\u5e745\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u306e\u9ad8\u6c34\u6e96\u3067\u3001\u4e88\u60f3\u3092\u4e0a\u56de\u308a\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u4e3b\u306a\u8981\u56e0: \u30a8\u30cd\u30eb\u30ae\u30fc\u4fa1\u683c\u306e\u9ad8\u9a30\uff08\u30ac\u30bd\u30ea\u30f3+28.4%\u3001\u71c3\u6599\u6cb9+54.3%\u306a\u3069\uff09\u3002\u30a4\u30e9\u30f3\u95a2\u9023\u306e\u5730\u653f\u5b66\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u304c\u77f3\u6cb9\u4fa1\u683c\u3092\u62bc\u3057\u4e0a\u3052\u3001\u30b7\u30a7\u30eb\u30bf\u30fc\u3084\u98df\u54c1\u3082\u5bc4\u4e0e\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u30b3\u30a2CPI\u3082\u524d\u5e74\u6bd4+2.8%\u3068\u4e0a\u6607\u50be\u5411\u3002Fed\u306e\u5229\u4e0b\u3052\u671f\u5f85\u304c\u5f8c\u9000\u3057\u3001\u5229\u4e0a\u3052\u89b3\u6e2c\u3059\u3089\u6d6e\u4e0a\u3059\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u904e\u53bb3\u56de\u306e\u4e3b\u8981\u66b4\u843d\uff08\u30c9\u30c3\u30c8\u30b3\u30e0\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u5371\u6a5f\u30012022\u5e74\uff09\u3067\u306fCPI\u304c3.8%\u8d85\u3067\u767a\u751f\u3057\u305f\u30b1\u30fc\u30b9\u304c\u591a\u304f\u3001S&amp;P500\u304c\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u9ad8\u5024\u570f\u306b\u3042\u308b\u4eca\u3001\u8b66\u6212\u611f\u304c\u9ad8\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">SpaceX\u306e\u4e0a\u5834\uff08IPO\uff09\u8a08\u753b<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u4e88\u5b9a<\/strong>: 2026\u5e746\u6708\u9803\uff08\u30ed\u30fc\u30c9\u30b7\u30e7\u30fc6\u67084\u65e5\u9803\u3001Nasdaq\u4e0a\u58346\u670812\u65e5\u9803\u3001\u30c6\u30a3\u30c3\u30ab\u30fcSPCX\uff09\u3002\u5de8\u984d\u8abf\u9054\uff08750\u5104\u30c9\u30eb\u8d85\uff09\u3067\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5927\u7d1a\u306eIPO\u3068\u306a\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u8a55\u4fa1\u984d: 1.5\u5146\u30c9\u30eb\u301c2\u5146\u30c9\u30eb\u898f\u6a21\u306e\u89b3\u6e2c\u3002Starlink\u306a\u3069\u306e\u6210\u9577\u671f\u5f85\u304c\u80cc\u666f\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u5de8\u984d\u8d64\u5b57\uff082025\u5e74\u7d0449\u5104\u30c9\u30eb\u640d\u5931\uff09\u3082\u62b1\u3048\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5927\u578bIPO\u306f\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u300c\u5929\u4e95\u30b7\u30b0\u30ca\u30eb\u300d\u306b\u306a\u308b\u6b74\u53f2\u304c\u3042\u308a\u3001\u8cc7\u91d1\u304c\u65e2\u5b58\u682a\u304b\u3089\u65b0\u682a\u3078\u30b7\u30d5\u30c8\uff08\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u5438\u53ce\uff09\u3059\u308b\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u304c\u6307\u6458\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u7279\u306b\u30c6\u30c3\u30af\u30fb\u6210\u9577\u682a\u4e2d\u5fc3\u306e\u56de\u8ee2\u58f2\u308a\u304c\u61f8\u5ff5\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u5e02\u5834\u306e\u53cd\u5fdc\u3068\u66b4\u843d\u30ea\u30b9\u30af<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>CPI\u4e0a\u6607 + \u5927\u578bIPO\u306e\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u306f\u3001\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30ec\u5727\u529b\u4e0b\u3067\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u51fa\u3092\u62db\u304d\u3084\u3059\u3044\u74b0\u5883\u3067\u3059\u3002\u590f\u5834\u306e\u5e02\u5834\u4fee\u6b63\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u3092\u6307\u6458\u3059\u308b\u58f0\u3082\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u80af\u5b9a\u7684\u898b\u65b9: SpaceX\u4e0a\u5834\u81ea\u4f53\u306f\u5b87\u5b99\u30bb\u30af\u30bf\u30fc\u306e\u8ffd\u3044\u98a8\u3002\u305f\u3060\u3057\u3001\u65e2\u5b58\u306e\u5b87\u5b99\u95a2\u9023\u682a\uff08\u4f8b: RKLB, ASTS\uff09\u304b\u3089\u306e\u8cc7\u91d1\u30b7\u30d5\u30c8\u304c\u8d77\u304d\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5426\u5b9a\u7684\u898b\u65b9: 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